Copa Libertadores
Jun 7, 2023 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
  • goal Hulk 62'
  • goal Hulk 62'

Alianza Lima vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 24, 2023 3.00am
Alianza Lima 1 - 2 Libertad

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 23, 2023 11.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Athletico PR

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.

Result

Alianza Lima 30.75% (-0.12)
Draw 27.72% (-0.03)
Atletico Mineiro 41.52% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.61% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.98% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 58.02% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 21.29% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 78.7% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 9.09% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 90.91% (-0.03)

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5 65.68% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 34.32% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 28.98% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 71.02% (+0.07)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 72.48% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 27.51% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 36.97% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 63.02% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Alianza Lima 30.74%
Draw 27.72%
Atletico Mineiro 41.52%
Alianza Lima
1-0 @ 10.09% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.4% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 30.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.44% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.72%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 12.18% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.41% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.86% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.62% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.38% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.93% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.52%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
May 4, 2023 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Igor Gomes 59' goal
  • Igor Gomes 68' goal