Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.

Result
Alianza Lima	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
30.75% ( -0.12)	27.72% ( -0.03)	41.52% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 47.61% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.98% (

0.06)

58.02% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.29% (

0.04)

78.7% (

-0.04)

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.68% (

-0.06)

34.32% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.98% (

-0.06)

71.02% (

0.06)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48% (

0.1)

27.51% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97% (

0.13)

63.02% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Alianza Lima 30.74%

Atletico Mineiro 41.52%

Draw 27.72%

Alianza Lima	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.74%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.72%	0-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.52%