Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.