Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Sporting Cristal

The Strongest
1 - 2
Cristal

Triverio (13', 13')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Brenner (23', 23'), Corozo (80', 80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between The Strongest and Sporting Cristal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

The Strongest

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Last Game: The Strongest 1-0 Fluminense
Thursday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Sporting Cristal

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Last Game: Cristal 1-1 River Plate
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
The StrongestDrawSporting Cristal
59.81% (0.171 0.17)22.04% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)18.15% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.58% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.7% (0.182 0.18)46.3% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.41% (0.171 0.17)68.59% (-0.176 -0.18)
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.93% (0.116 0.12)15.07% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.4% (0.22 0.22)43.6% (-0.227 -0.23)
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)39.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75.97% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    The Strongest 59.8%
    Sporting Cristal 18.15%
    Draw 22.04%
The StrongestDrawSporting Cristal
1-0 @ 11.19% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.68% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 59.8%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.53% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 18.15%

How you voted: The Strongest vs Cristal

The Strongest
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Sporting Cristal
10.0%
10
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 3am
Group Stage
Cristal
1-0
The Strongest
Lora (80')