Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.