Emelec
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Banco del Pacifico
Sporting Cristal

Emelec
0 - 0
Cristal


Valencia (88')
FT

Yotun (21'), Nunes (22'), Ignacio (83')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 32 clash between Emelec and Sporting Cristal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Emelec

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cristal 0-1 Emelec
Thursday, July 13 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Sporting Cristal

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cristal 0-1 Emelec
Thursday, July 13 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
EmelecDrawSporting Cristal
55.24% (-0.149 -0.15)24.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.02% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 46.61% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.146 0.15)54.55% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.122 0.12)75.9% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)
Emelec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)51.69% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04% (0.244 0.24)41.96% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6% (0.21 0.21)78.4% (-0.20899999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Emelec 55.22%
    Sporting Cristal 20.02%
    Draw 24.74%
EmelecDrawSporting Cristal
1-0 @ 13.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.9% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 55.22%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 20.02%

Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 1am
Round of 32 1st Leg
Cristal
0-1
Emelec

Ignacio (20'), Nunes (21'), Yotun (67')
Cevallos (52')
Villalba (22'), Valencia (44'), Cabeza (56'), Bolanos (64'), Carabali (84')
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