Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Emelec in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Emelec.

Result
Emelec	Draw	Danubio
51.27% ( 0.01)	26.99%	21.75% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.91% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.39% (

-0)

60.62% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.3% (

-0)

80.71% (

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

23.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.94% (

58.06% (

-0)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.37% (

-0.01)

43.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.18% (

-0.01)

79.82% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Emelec 51.26%

Danubio 21.75%

Draw 26.98%

Emelec	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 14.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.23% 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.36% Total : 51.26%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.75%