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Bryan Carabali
36'
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Bryan Carabali
36'
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Edgar Lastre
64'
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Edgar Lastre
64'
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Diego Vera
68'
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Diego Vera
68'
Emelec vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Emelec in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Emelec.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Emelec Goals
Danubio Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23%
4-0 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 51.26%
0-0 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.98%
1-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 21.75%