Copa Sudamericana
Apr 19, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Federico Santander 68' goal
  • Facundo Barcelo 76' goal
  • goal Guillermo May 42'

Guarani vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guarani

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 6, 2023 11.00pm
Huracan 4 - 1 Guarani

Danubio

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 5, 2023 11.00pm
Danubio 2 - 0 Emelec

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guarani would win this match.

Result

Guarani 38.08% (-1.89)
Draw 27.33% (-0.31)
Danubio 34.6% (+2.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.77% (+1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.24% (+1.51)
Under 2.5 55.76% (-1.51)
Over 3.5 23.11% (+1.22)
Under 3.5 76.89% (-1.22)
Over 4.5 10.18% (+0.74)
Under 4.5 89.82% (-0.74)

Guarani Goals

Over 0.5 71.62% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 28.38% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 35.88% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 64.12% (+0.45)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 69.49% (+2.24)
Under 0.5 30.51% (-2.24)
Over 1.5 33.27% (+2.57)
Under 1.5 66.73% (-2.57)

Score analysis

Guarani 38.07%
Draw 27.32%
Danubio 34.59%
Guarani
1-0 @ 10.9% (-0.77)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.56)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.03% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 38.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.52)
2-2 @ 4.84% (+0.22)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.32%
Danubio
0-1 @ 10.27% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.68% (+0.41)
0-2 @ 6.1% (+0.39)
1-3 @ 3.04% (+0.34)
0-3 @ 2.41% (+0.29)
2-3 @ 1.92% (+0.20)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 34.59%