Huracan
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 6, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

Huracan
4 - 1
Guarani

Hezze (14'), Castro (35'), Lujan (84'), Garro (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Santander (18')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Huracan and Guarani.

Form, Standings, Stats

Huracan

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Huracan
Saturday, April 1 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Guarani

All competitions
Last Game: Guarani 3-1 Ameliano
Wednesday, March 8 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 74.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 7.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.28%) and 3-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.99%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.

Result
HuracanDrawGuarani
74.05% (0.15000000000001 0.15)18.19% (-0.096 -0.1)7.77% (-0.048100000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 33.67% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.3% (0.209 0.21)53.7% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.81% (0.177 0.18)75.19% (-0.169 -0.17)
Huracan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96% (0.11 0.11)13.05% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.39% (0.216 0.22)39.61% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)
Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.73% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.28% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)91.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Huracan 74.04%
    Guarani 7.77%
    Draw 18.19%
HuracanDrawGuarani
2-0 @ 16.58%
1-0 @ 16.28% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 11.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 5.73% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.51% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.34% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 74.04%
0-0 @ 7.99% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-1 @ 7.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.19%
0-1 @ 3.92% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 7.77%

How you voted: Huracan vs Guarani

Huracan
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Guarani
25.0%
8
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!