Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
 

Guarani
3 - 1
Ameliano

Santander (45+2'), Dorrego (53'), Borja (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Caceres (47')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guarani and Sportivo Ameliano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guarani

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Sportivo Ameliano

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Sportivo Ameliano win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guarani would win this match.

Result
GuaraniDrawSportivo Ameliano
47.74% (-0.337 -0.34)25.27% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)26.99% (0.429 0.43)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.646 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.681 0.68)50.32% (-0.685 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.601 0.6)72.27% (-0.605 -0.61)
Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.129 0.13)21.1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (0.204 0.2)53.92% (-0.208 -0.21)
Sportivo Ameliano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (0.70700000000001 0.71)33.12% (-0.712 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (0.775 0.77)69.72% (-0.78 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Guarani 47.74%
    Sportivo Ameliano 26.99%
    Draw 25.26%
GuaraniDrawSportivo Ameliano
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.35%
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 47.74%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.195 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.64% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 26.99%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Guarani
rhs 2.0


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