Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 1-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.