Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Emelec win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.