Copa Sudamericana
May 4, 2023 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Federico Santander 63' goal
  • goal Alejandro Cabeza 83'

Guarani vs Emelec - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Guarani

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 11.00pm
Guarani 2 - 1 Danubio

Emelec

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 21, 2023 3.00am
Emelec 1 - 0 Huracan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Emelec win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Guarani 38.82% (-0.10)
Draw 26.77% (-0.09)
Emelec 34.4% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.48% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.41% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 53.58% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 24.91% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 75.09% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 11.3% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 88.7% (-0.19)

Guarani Goals

Over 0.5 73.07% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 26.92% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 37.75% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 62.25% (-0.16)

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5 70.44% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 29.55% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 34.42% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 65.57% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Guarani 38.82%
Draw 26.77%
Emelec 34.4%
Guarani
1-0 @ 10.44% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 8.35% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.65% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 38.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.96% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.77%
Emelec
0-1 @ 9.7% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.76% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.91% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.15% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.4% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.07% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 34.4%