Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 21, 2023 at 3am UK

Estadio George Capwell

Emelec
1 - 0
Huracan

Fara (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Emelec and Huracan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Emelec

Last Game: Danubio 2-0 Emelec
Wednesday, April 5 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Huracan

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Huracan 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Emelec in this match.

Result
Emelec	Draw	Huracan
40.59% ( -0.1)	28.14% ( 0.05)	31.27% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 46.62% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.64% (

-0.15)

59.35% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.25% (

-0.12)

79.74% (

0.11)

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33% (

-0.13)

28.67% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51% (

-0.16)

64.49% (

0.16)

Huracan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.35% (

-0.04)

34.64% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.63% (

-0.04)

71.37% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Emelec 40.58%

Huracan 31.26%

Draw 28.13%

Emelec	Draw	Huracan
1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 40.58%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 31.26%