Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.