Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16

May 15, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
0 - 2
Sarmiento

FT(HT: 0-1)

Toledo (17', 54')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 0-0 Union
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Sarmiento

All competitions

Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-1 Sarmiento
Tuesday, May 9 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.54%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Union	Draw	Sarmiento
45.39% ( 0.29)	30.63% ( -0.09)	23.98% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 36.69% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.38% (

0.13)

69.62% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.01% (

0.08)

86.99% (

-0.08)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.87% (

0.22)

31.13% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.54% (

0.26)

67.46% (

-0.27)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.27% (

-0.12)

46.73% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.72% (

-0.09)

82.28% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Union 45.39%

Sarmiento 23.97%

Draw 30.62%

Union	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 16.97% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 45.39%	0-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.07) 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 30.62%	0-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.97%