Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Apr 17, 2023 at 11pm UK

Sarmiento
1 - 0
Arsenal

Bettini (13')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions

Last Game: Tigre 1-0 Sarmiento
Friday, April 14 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Arsenal Sarandi

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal 2-3 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, April 13 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sarmiento in this match.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
42.95% ( -1.53)	27.41% ( 0.94)	29.64% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 48.03% (

-2.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.74% (

-3.28)

57.26% (

3.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.89% (

-2.68)

78.1% (

2.68)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

-2.25)

26.4% (

2.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

-3.09)

61.56% (

3.09)

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.25% (

-1.28)

34.74% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.53% (

-1.38)

71.47% (

1.38)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 42.94%

Arsenal Sarandi 29.64%

Draw 27.41%

Sarmiento	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.73) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.94%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 1.09) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.85) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.18% Total : 29.64%