Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 14, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio José Dellagiovanna
  • Blas Armoa 36' goal

Tigre vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigre

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 6.00pm
Godoy Cruz 1 - 1 Tigre
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Mateo Retegui

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 8, 2023 7.30pm
Sarmiento 2 - 0 Argentinos Jrs
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Luciano Gondou

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigre in this match.

Result

Tigre 61.01% (+0.36)
Draw 24.05% (-0.05)
Sarmiento 14.94% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.72% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.19% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 58.81% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 20.67% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 79.32% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 8.73% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 91.27% (+0.14)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5 80.88% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.12% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 49.25% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 50.75% (-0.03)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 49.1% (-0.63)
Under 0.5 50.89% (+0.62)
Over 1.5 14.73% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 85.27% (+0.43)

Score analysis

Tigre 60.99%
Draw 24.04%
Sarmiento 14.94%
Tigre
1-0 @ 16.09% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 13.31% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.35% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.04% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-98.10)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 60.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 9.73% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 24.04%
Sarmiento
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 3.67% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 14.94%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 23
Oct 4, 2022 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Javier Toledo 16' goal
  • Luciano Gondou 85' goal
  • goal Blas Armoa 40'
  • goal Facundo Colidio 44'