Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 4, 2023 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Julio César Villagra

Belgrano vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
Godoy Cruz 3 - 1 Belgrano
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Sarmiento

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 20, 2023 12.30am
Sarmiento 0 - 2 River Plate
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Luciano Gondou

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.18%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.

Result

Belgrano 47.23% (-0.68)
Draw 30.09% (-0.05)
Sarmiento 22.67% (+0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.78% (+0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 31.07% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 68.93% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 13.45% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 86.55% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 4.85% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 95.15% (-0.17)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5 70.22% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 29.78% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 34.15% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 65.85% (+0.11)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 52.38% (+1.08)
Under 0.5 47.62% (-1.08)
Over 1.5 17.05% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 82.95% (-0.79)

Score analysis

Belgrano 47.22%
Draw 30.09%
Sarmiento 22.67%
Belgrano
1-0 @ 17.17% (-0.38)
2-0 @ 10.4% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 7.72% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.22%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.18% (-0.29)
1-1 @ 12.74% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 2.86% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 30.09%
Sarmiento
0-1 @ 10.52% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 4.73% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 3.9% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 1.17% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 22.67%