Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Apr 4, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Julio César Villagra
Sarmiento

Belgrano
0 - 0
Sarmiento

FT
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Belgrano 0-0 Union
Monday, November 17 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Sarmiento
Saturday, November 15 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.18%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.

Result
BelgranoDrawSarmiento
47.23% (-0.671 -0.67)30.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)22.67% (0.716 0.72)
Both teams to score 36.78% (0.713 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.07% (0.529 0.53)68.93% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.45% (0.34 0.34)86.55% (-0.342 -0.34)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)29.78% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (-0.101 -0.1)65.85% (0.101 0.1)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.38% (1.074 1.07)47.62% (-1.076 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.05% (0.784 0.78)82.95% (-0.786 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 47.22%
    Sarmiento 22.67%
    Draw 30.09%
BelgranoDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 17.17% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-0 @ 10.4% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.16% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 47.22%
0-0 @ 14.18% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.86% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 30.09%
0-1 @ 10.52% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.73% (0.183 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.67%

How you voted: Belgrano vs Sarmiento

Belgrano
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Sarmiento
16.7%
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