Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 38.35%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 29.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.97%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.