Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 47.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.