Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Danubio
33.25% ( -0.36)	28.58% ( 0.68)	38.17% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 45.87% (

-2.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.48% (

-2.48)

60.52% (

2.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.37% (

-1.91)

80.63% (

1.91)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.15% (

-1.54)

33.85% (

1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.48% (

-1.7)

70.51% (

1.7)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34% (

-1.41)

30.66% (

1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09% (

-1.71)

66.9% (

1.7)

Score Analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 33.25%

Danubio 38.16%

Draw 28.57%

Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.25%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.92) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.16%