Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Apr 7, 2023 at 11pm UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Wanderers
0 - 1
Maldonado

FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernandez (45+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Boston River 0-1 Wanderers
Sunday, April 2 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 2-0 Fenix
Saturday, April 1 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 26.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawDeportivo Maldonado
45.96% (-0.209 -0.21)27.66% (0.071000000000002 0.07)26.37% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 45.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.34% (-0.159 -0.16)59.66% (0.157 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.02% (-0.122 -0.12)79.98% (0.11999999999999 0.12)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.176 -0.18)25.96% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (-0.237 -0.24)60.97% (0.235 0.23)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.29% (0.028999999999996 0.03)38.7% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.56% (0.029 0.03)75.44% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 45.96%
    Deportivo Maldonado 26.37%
    Draw 27.65%
Montevideo WanderersDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 13.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 12.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.04% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 26.37%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 10pm
Maldonado
1-0
Wanderers
Romero (90+1')

Fonseca (11')
Jul 9, 2022 2pm
Maldonado
1-2
Wanderers
Borges (56')
Ferreira (24'), Varela (30')
Mendez (90', 90+8')
Fracchia (8'), Lacerda (21'), Estol (52'), Aguirre (69'), Hernandez (82'), Mendez (90+6')
Mendez (90+9'), Izquierdo (90+9')
Apr 11, 2022 11pm
Wanderers
0-1
Maldonado

Izquierdo (29'), Vidart (37'), Veglio (52'), Wagner (81'), Aguirre (90+4'), Mendez (90+10')
De Arruabarrena (51')
Borges (21' pen.)
Silva (45+1'), Gonzalez (86'), (89'), Cantera (90+7')
Cantera (90+12')
Sep 20, 2021 7.30pm
Maldonado
1-3
Wanderers
Casas (19')
Cardozo (3'), Nunez (8'), Bogliacino (89'), Bogliacino (89')
Cardozo (66')
Mendez (6' pen., 11'), Abero (45')
Mathias Tellechea (66'), Izquierdo (67')
May 23, 2021 9.15pm
Wanderers
0-0
Maldonado

Vadocz (26'), Abero (29'), Hernandez (38'), Torres (74'), Petryk (87')
Torres (90+2')

Souza (45+2')