Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Sep 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
Parque Alfredo VĂ­ctor Viera

Wanderers
0 - 3
Danubio

FT(HT: 0-3)
Fernandez (4', 19', 42')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Wanderers
Saturday, September 3 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Liverpool
Saturday, September 3 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.36%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawDanubio
32.96% (-0.175 -0.17)29.91% (0.546 0.55)37.13% (-0.366 -0.37)
Both teams to score 42.23% (-1.461 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.07% (-1.751 -1.75)64.93% (1.755 1.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.16% (-1.244 -1.24)83.84% (1.249 1.25)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (-1.079 -1.08)36.42% (1.083 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-1.106 -1.11)73.21% (1.111 1.11)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-1.15 -1.15)33.58% (1.154 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (-1.277 -1.28)70.22% (1.282 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 32.96%
    Danubio 37.13%
    Draw 29.91%
Montevideo WanderersDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 12.35% (0.44 0.44)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 32.96%
1-1 @ 13.48% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 12.23% (0.78 0.78)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.91%
0-1 @ 13.34% (0.44 0.44)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.204 -0.2)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.13%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 7.30pm
Danubio
0-0
Wanderers

Navarro (16'), Vicente (39'), Rea (60'), Olivera (84')
Navarro (40')

Mendez (32'), Figueredo (69'), Veglio (73')
Jan 21, 2021 12.45am
Wanderers
2-0
Danubio
Perez (65'), Hernandez (90+5')
Rivero (14'), Lima (73'), Barboza (90')

Carrera (28'), Comachi (41'), Silvera (70')
Feb 23, 2020 8pm
Danubio
0-1
Wanderers

Gutierrez (28'), Denis (52'), Grossmuller (73'), Mederos (78')
Montes (13')
Acuna (30')
Bueno (16'), Morales (61'), Pastorini (90')
Nov 21, 2019 10pm
Wanderers
2-1
Danubio
Castro (24' pen.), Bravo (39')
Bueno (44'), Araujo (90')
Labandeira (26')
Garcia (30'), Montes (40'), Federico Amuz Balari (44'), Goni (54'), Jones (55')
Montes (67')
May 18, 2019 7.30pm
Danubio
0-2
Wanderers

Felipe (28'), Ghan (40'), Goni (73'), Montes (73')
Rodriguez (41')
Andueza (22', 31')
Barrandeguy (27'), Riolfo (40'), Pastorini (70'), Barboza (82'), Coitino (85'), Martinez (91')
Albarracin (41')