Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Fenix	Draw	Danubio
25.43% ( -0.12)	27.71% ( -0)	46.86% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 44.54% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.63% (

-0.05)

60.37% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.48% (

-0.04)

80.52% (

0.04)

Fenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.07% (

-0.14)

39.93% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.41% (

-0.13)

76.59% (

0.13)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.16% (

0.04)

25.84% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.19% (

0.05)

60.81% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Fenix 25.43%

Danubio 46.85%

Draw 27.7%

Fenix	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.43%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 13.96% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 46.85%