Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.