Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
12
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-
Diego Polenta
90'
Montevideo Wanderers vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.
Result
Montevideo Wanderers
22.9%
▼
(-0.39)
Draw
25.69%
▲
(+0.09)
Nacional
51.41%
▲
(+0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
47.62%
▼
(-0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.86%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 2.5
55.14%
▲
(+0.67)
Over 3.5
23.61%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 3.5
76.39%
▲
(+0.55)
Over 4.5
10.49%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 4.5
89.51%
▲
(+0.35)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5
60.66%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 0.5
39.34%
▲
(+0.75)
Over 1.5
23.96%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 1.5
76.04%
▲
(+0.71)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
78.51%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
21.49%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
45.47%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
54.53%
▲
(+0.22)
Score analysis
Montevideo Wanderers
22.9%
Draw
25.68%
Nacional
51.4%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0
@
7.89%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 22.9%
2-1 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 22.9%
Draw
1-1
@
12.12%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.68%
0-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.68%
Nacional
0-1
@
12.99%
▲
(+0.27)
0-2 @ 9.99% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 51.4%
0-2 @ 9.99% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 51.4%
Head to Head
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
6
-
Felipe Carballo
15'
-
Leandro Lozano
56'
-
Felipe Carballo
59'
-
Sergio Rochet
88'
-
Diego Rodriguez
90'
-
Christian Bravo
22'
-
Juan Acosta
44'
-
Guillermo Wagner
70'
-
Matias Castro
90'
-
Juan Aguirre
90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
6
-
Christian Bravo
22'
-
Jonathan Lacerda
45'+3'
-
Hernan Rivero
77'
-
Diego Hernandez
90'
-
Diego Hernandez
90'+1'
-
90'+15'
-
90'+16'
-
Alex Castro
60'
-
Alex Castro
68'
-
Yonatan Rodriguez
86'
-
Leo Coelho
89'
-
90'
-
Yonatan Rodriguez
90'+8'
-
Diego Zabala
90'+8'
-
Franco Fagundez
90'+10'
-
Jose Luis Rodriguez
90'+11'