Copa Libertadores
Apr 5, 2023 3.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlis Ortiz 52' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Gigliotti 23'
  • goal Francisco Ginella 90'+1'

Metropolitanos vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metropolitanos

All competitions

Nacional

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Metropolitanos 31.81% (-0.35)
Draw 29.44% (+0.42)
Nacional 38.74% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.23% (-1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.38% (-1.41)
Under 2.5 63.61% (+1.41)
Over 3.5 17.09% (-1.03)
Under 3.5 82.91% (+1.03)
Over 4.5 6.72% (-0.56)
Under 4.5 93.28% (+0.56)

Metropolitanos Goals

Over 0.5 63.46% (-1.03)
Under 0.5 36.54% (+1.03)
Over 1.5 26.67% (-1.05)
Under 1.5 73.33% (+1.05)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 68.12% (-0.77)
Under 0.5 31.88% (+0.77)
Over 1.5 31.68% (-0.88)
Under 1.5 68.32% (+0.89)

Score analysis

Metropolitanos 31.81%
Draw 29.43%
Nacional 38.74%
Metropolitanos
1-0 @ 11.72% (+0.29)
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.10)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 31.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.4% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 11.64% (+0.59)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.43%
Nacional
0-1 @ 13.31% (+0.42)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 7.61% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 38.74%