MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 09:24:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 26, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 1
Racing

Ramirez (7' pen., 30'), Gigliotti (79')
Morales (2'), Fagundez (27'), Rodriguez (33'), Trezza (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Alaniz (72')
Rivero (26'), Rey (57'), J (62'), Rodriguez (66'), Ospitaleche (87')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 2-1 Nacional
Saturday, February 18 at 10.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, February 19 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRacing de Montevideo
49.36% (0.166 0.17) 28.43% (-0.115 -0.11) 22.2% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 39.94% (0.213 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.3% (0.302 0.3)64.7% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.32% (0.212 0.21)83.68% (-0.211 -0.21)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (0.224 0.22)26.61% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (0.297 0.3)61.84% (-0.296 -0.3)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.43% (0.126 0.13)45.56% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.62% (0.1 0.1)81.38% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 49.36%
    Racing de Montevideo 22.2%
    Draw 28.42%
NacionalDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 16.05% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.69% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 49.36%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 12.12% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 3.28% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 9.53% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 22.2%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2019 11pm
Nacional
3-0
Racing
Vina (8'), Vecino (78', 80')
Carvalho (35'), Garcia (50'), Zunino (64'), Carballo (91')
Mar 2, 2019 7.30pm
Racing
1-1
Nacional
Sosa (77')
Rodriguez (65'), Arismendi (90')
Ocampo (87')
Cotugno (53'), Pereira (60')
Sep 1, 2018 8pm
Nacional
1-0
Racing
Garcia (52')
Rolin (89'), Oliva (94')

Ramos (76'), Malan (82'), Lacoste (95')
May 31, 2018 12am
Nacional
5-0
Racing
Erramuspe (7'), Bergessio (22'), Aguiar (43'), Coelho (74'), Viudez (82')
Bergessio (28'), Zunino (85')

Lacoste (28'), Romero (38')
Romero (45'), Lacoste (63')
Mar 22, 2018 7pm
Racing
0-1
Nacional

Araujo (34'), Romero (61')
Zunino (93')
Oliva (53'), Peruzzi (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1210202561932
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3ProgresoProgreso127322420424
4Defensor SportingDefensor1264225141122
5Boston RiverBoston River126331613321
6Cerro Largo125341412218
7LiverpoolLiverpool123631918115
8Racing de MontevideoRacing124351717015
9Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
10River PlateRiver Plate123451517-213
11DanubioDanubio123451216-413
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers123361217-512
13CerroCerro122551321-811
14Rampla JuniorsRampla122371024-149
15Miramar Misiones121561523-88
16FenixFenix12147916-77
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!