Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Feb 10, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Cerro Largo logo

Nacional
0 - 0
Cerro Largo

FT
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Liverpool
Monday, February 6 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-1 River Plate
Saturday, February 4 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawCerro Largo
50.92% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.27% (-0.004999999999999 -0)20.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 38.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.75% (0.020000000000003 0.02)65.24% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.94% (0.013999999999999 0.01)84.06% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (0.012 0.01)26.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (0.017000000000003 0.02)61.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.62% (0.011000000000003 0.01)47.38% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)82.77% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 50.92%
    Cerro Largo 20.81%
    Draw 28.26%
NacionalDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 16.61%
2-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 50.92%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 28.26%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 20.81%

Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 10pm
Nacional
1-1
Cerro Largo
Gigliotti (54' pen.)
Beltran (69')
Ferrares (54')
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Cerro Largo
0-0
Nacional

Alvarez (41'), Max (51'), Morales (75'), Bentaberry (81')

Marichal (70'), Rodriguez (87')
Apr 23, 2022 12am
Cerro Largo
0-2
Nacional

Martinez (19'), Max (60'), Correa (90')
Monzeglio (35', 49')
Castro (38'), Marichal (53'), Lozano (85'), Fagundez (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 10.30pm
Cerro Largo
1-1
Nacional
Otormin (24')
Ferreira (56'), Di Yorio (65'), Paiva (70')
Ferreira (88')
Risso (19')
Garcia (45'), Gabrielli (72')
Risso (23')
Jun 3, 2021 12.30am
Nacional
1-2
Cerro Largo
May (76')
Gabrielli (13')
Gabrielli (19')
Otormin (41'), Beltran (65')
Estol (28'), Rodriguez (58'), Cayetano (84')
Rodriguez (69')
rhs 2.0


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