Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
5
-
Lucas Rodriguez
19'
-
Mathias Abero
67'
-
Alfonso Trezza
11'
-
Gaston Pereiro
70'
Cerro vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.86%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result
Cerro
18.16%
▲
(+0.63)
Draw
25.04%
▲
(+0.36)
Nacional
56.8%
▼
(-0.99)
Both Teams to Score:
43%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.2%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 2.5
57.8%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 3.5
21.47%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 3.5
78.53%
▲
(+0.35)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5
53.98%
▲
(+0.52)
Under 0.5
46.02%
▼
(-0.52)
Over 1.5
18.27%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 1.5
81.73%
▼
(-0.40)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
79.65%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 0.5
20.35%
▲
(+0.56)
Over 1.5
47.25%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 1.5
52.75%
▲
(+0.89)
Score analysis
Cerro
18.16%
Draw
25.04%
Nacional
56.78%
Cerro
1-0
@
7.27%
▲
(+0.23)
2-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 18.16%
2-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 18.16%
Draw
1-1
@
11.57%
▲
(+0.17)
0-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.04%
0-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.04%
Nacional
0-1
@
14.9%
▼
(-0.02)
0-2 @ 11.86% ▼ (-0.23)
1-2 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.11)
0-4 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.78%
0-2 @ 11.86% ▼ (-0.23)
1-2 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.11)
0-4 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.14)
1-4 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.78%
Head to Head
-
Paulo Vinicius
16'
-
Santiago Rodriguez
25'
-
Pablo Garcia
50'
-
Claudio Yacob
54'
-
Thiago Vecino
66'
-
Santiago Rodriguez
77'
-
Santiago Cartagena Albistur
90'+2'
-
Santiago Cartagena
90'+2'
-
Maicol Cabrera
36'
-
Mario Valentin Garcia Fernandez
42'
-
Mario Garcia
42'
-
Jorge Agustin Hernandez Arrua
50'
-
Agustin Hernandez
50'
-
Cristian Cruz
61'
-
Bryan Bentaberry
66'
