Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 6, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Fenix

Wanderers
0 - 3
Fenix

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ocampo (48', 56' pen.), Vega (67')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Fenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Danubio 0-2 Wanderers
Saturday, April 29 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Fenix

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Fenix
Saturday, April 29 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawFenix
48.84% (-0.392 -0.39)25.19% (0.151 0.15)25.96% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 52.14% (-0.248 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27% (-0.433 -0.43)50.73% (0.42899999999999 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37% (-0.384 -0.38)72.62% (0.38 0.38)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (-0.34100000000001 -0.34)20.78% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (-0.53899999999999 -0.54)53.44% (0.535 0.54)
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)34.17% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)70.86% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 48.84%
    Fenix 25.96%
    Draw 25.19%
Montevideo WanderersDrawFenix
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 25.96%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2022 11pm
gameweek 3
Wanderers
2-1
Fenix
Ferreira (66'), Hernandez (90+5')
Vega (62' pen.)
Pereira (42'), Franca Ascarate (74'), Schetino (90+2')
Jul 20, 2022 4pm
gameweek 6
Fenix
1-0
Wanderers
Pereira (8')
De Marco (15'), Pereira (24'), Vega (41'), Nunez (67')

Aguirre (10'), Mendez (40'), Bravo (90+2')
Feb 20, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 3
Fenix
0-3
Wanderers

Estoyanoff (15'), Schetino (50'), Puentes (72'), Alfaro (78')
Rivero (28'), Mendez (79' pen.), Pais (90+3')
Aguirre (34'), Estol (58'), Veglio (73'), Acosta (75')
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
gameweek 15
Wanderers
1-1
Fenix
Blanco (89')
Izquierdo (28'), De Arruabarrena (59'), Araujo (90')
Pereira (62' pen.)
Barboza (14'), Rodriguez (25'), Alaniz (90+4')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
gameweek 15
Fenix
2-1
Wanderers
Pereira (51'), Rodriguez (71')
Nunez (67'), Rodriguez (85')
Rivero (23')
Wagner (29'), Abero (70'), Rolon (90+5')