Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.