Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Jun 23, 2023 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Palermo
  • goal Jannenson Sarmiento 2'
  • goal Jannenson Sarmiento 38'

La Luz vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

La Luz

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 7.00pm
Boston River 4 - 0 La Luz
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolas Schiappacasse

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 16, 2023 7.00pm
Danubio 1 - 0 Torque
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Guillermo May

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result

La Luz 29.91% (-0.61)
Draw 27.18% (-0.04)
Danubio 42.9% (+0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.81% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.67% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 56.33% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 22.64% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 77.35% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 9.89% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 90.1% (+0.06)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5 65.95% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 34.05% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 29.27% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 70.73% (+0.55)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 74% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 25.99% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 38.98% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 61.02% (-0.39)

Score analysis

La Luz 29.91%
Draw 27.18%
Danubio 42.9%
La Luz
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 5.14% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 29.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.85% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.18%
Danubio
0-1 @ 11.92% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 8.65% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 8.03% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.89% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.61% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.22% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 42.9%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 7, 2023 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nicolas Schiappacasse 16' goal
  • Nicolas Schiappacasse 77' goal
  • Juan Quintana 82' goal
  • goal Santiago Romero 90'+2'