Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
La Luz	Draw	River Plate
33.3% ( 5.34)	26.46% ( -0.52)	40.24% ( -4.83)

Both teams to score 52.26% (

3.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.51% (

3.91)

52.48% (

-3.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.85% (

3.25)

74.15% (

-3.25)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28% (

5.87)

29.71% (

-5.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22% (

6.58)

65.77% (

-6.58)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

-0.71)

25.64% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.46% (

-0.98)

60.53% (

0.98)

Score Analysis

La Luz 33.3%

River Plate 40.23%

Draw 26.45%

La Luz	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 1.06) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.88) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.82) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.64) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.53) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.35) Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.3%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -1.25) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.63) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( -1.96) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( -1.5) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.76) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.23%