Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 22, 2023 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Bruno Scorza 65' goal
  • Nicolas Schiappacasse 90'+8' goal
  • goal Jonathan Dos Santos 12'
  • goal Cristian Barros 81'

La Luz vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

La Luz

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 17, 2023 11.15pm
La Luz 4 - 2 Maldonado
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolas Schiappacasse

River Plate

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 7.30pm
River Plate 1 - 2 Wanderers
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Jonathan Dos Santos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

La Luz 33.3% (+5.34)
Draw 26.46% (-0.52)
River Plate 40.24% (-4.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.26% (+3.91)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.51% (+3.91)
Under 2.5 52.48% (-3.91)
Over 3.5 25.85% (+3.26)
Under 3.5 74.15% (-3.26)
Over 4.5 11.9% (+2.04)
Under 4.5 88.1% (-2.04)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5 70.28% (+5.88)
Under 0.5 29.71% (-5.88)
Over 1.5 34.22% (+6.58)
Under 1.5 65.77% (-6.58)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 74.35% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 25.64% (+0.72)
Over 1.5 39.46% (-0.98)
Under 1.5 60.53% (+0.98)

Score analysis

La Luz 33.3%
Draw 26.45%
River Plate 40.23%
La Luz
1-0 @ 9.25% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.64% (+1.06)
2-0 @ 5.61% (+0.88)
3-1 @ 3.09% (+0.83)
3-0 @ 2.27% (+0.64)
3-2 @ 2.1% (+0.53)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 33.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 7.62% (-1.26)
2-2 @ 5.2% (+0.63)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 26.45%
River Plate
0-1 @ 10.36% (-1.97)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.29)
0-2 @ 7.06% (-1.51)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.77)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.25)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.10)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.29)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.23%