Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.