Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.