Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 2, 2023 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Cerro vs La Luz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 9.15pm
Wanderers 3 - 0 Cerro
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Lucas Rodriguez

La Luz

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 27, 2023 12.30am
La Luz 1 - 3 Racing
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolas Schiappacasse

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Cerro 36.78% (-0.08)
Draw 28.61% (-0.13)
La Luz 34.61% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.97% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.52% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 60.48% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 19.4% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 80.6% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 7.99% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 92.01% (-0.20)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 68.5% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 31.5% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 32.12% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 67.88% (-0.23)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5 67.1% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 32.9% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 30.53% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 69.47% (-0.42)

Score analysis

Cerro 36.78%
Draw 28.6%
La Luz 34.61%
Cerro
1-0 @ 11.97% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 7.69% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.96% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 36.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.36% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.27% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.6%
La Luz
0-1 @ 11.51% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.4% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.4% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.37% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.58% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.61%