Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 27.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a La Luz win it was 1-0 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
La Luz	Draw	Boston River
27.16% ( -0.42)	27.28% ( 0)	45.56% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 46.98% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.1% (

-0.22)

57.9% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.39% (

-0.18)

78.61% (

0.17)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.94% (

-0.46)

37.06% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.15% (

-0.46)

73.85% (

0.46)

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

0.1)

25.36% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84% (

0.14)

60.16% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

La Luz 27.16%

Boston River 45.55%

Draw 27.28%

La Luz	Draw	Boston River
1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 27.16%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.55%