Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
1
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-
Nicolas Royon
85'
-
Nicolas Royon
85'
-
Luis Machado
90'+5'
-
Luis Machado
90'+6'
-
Juan Quintana
90'+8'
-
Juan Quintana
90'+9'
-
Sebastian Cristoforo
60'
-
Sebastian Cristoforo
60'
-
Sebastian Rodriguez
90'+2'
-
Sebastian Rodriguez
90'+3'
La Luz vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result
La Luz
28.28%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
25.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Penarol
46.51%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
53.93%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.75%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
49.26%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
28.69%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
71.31%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
13.77%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
86.23%
▼
(-0.07)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5
68.43%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
31.57%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
32.03%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
67.97%
▼
(-0.15)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
78.8%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
21.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
45.92%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
54.08%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
La Luz
28.28%
Draw
25.2%
Penarol
46.51%
La Luz
1-0
@
7.71%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 28.28%
2-1 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 28.28%
Draw
1-1
@
11.96%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.2%
0-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.2%
Penarol
0-1
@
10.38%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 46.51%
1-2 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 46.51%