Racing de Montevideo vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.