MX23RW : Wednesday, February 28 12:57:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 23, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Profesor Alberto Suppici
Penarol
Plaza Colonia
1 - 2
Penarol
Ebere (45+1' pen.)
Fernandez (48'), Zeballos (72'), Ayala (82'), Goyeni (86'), Silva (90+2'), Olivera (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Saravia (34'), Hernandez (90+7')
Saravia (21'), Sanchez (23'), Sanchez (45+4'), Betancor (70'), Mansilla (75'), Rossi (84'), Cardozo (90+4'), Hernandez (90+8')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plaza Colonia 2-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 22.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Plaza ColoniaDrawPenarol
22.71% (0.737 0.74) 25.34% (0.579 0.58) 51.95% (-1.316 -1.32)
Both teams to score 48.4% (-0.784 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.99% (-1.493 -1.49)54% (1.494 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56% (-1.265 -1.27)75.44% (1.268 1.27)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.11% (-0.119 -0.12)38.89% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.38% (-0.114 -0.11)75.61% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-1.124 -1.12)20.8% (1.125 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-1.797 -1.8)53.46% (1.798 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Plaza Colonia 22.71%
    Penarol 51.95%
    Draw 25.33%
Plaza ColoniaDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.412 0.41)
2-1 @ 5.67% (0.097 0.1)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.183 0.18)
3-1 @ 1.78% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.14% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 22.71%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 8.09% (0.462 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 12.7% (0.3 0.3)
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-3 @ 5.22% (-0.244 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.93% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-4 @ 2.05% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 51.95%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 11.30pm
gameweek 12
Penarol
0-1
Plaza Colonia
Mederos (36')
Kidd (85')
May 14, 2022 12.30am
gameweek 12
Plaza Colonia
0-1
Penarol

Kidd (17'), Suhr (32'), Guirin (66')
Ceppelini (19' pen.)
Ceppelini (45+1'), Musto (58'), Laquintana (78')
Dec 7, 2021 11.30pm
Plaza Colonia
1-1
Penarol
Lopez (35' pen.)
Dibble (56'), Olivera (79')
Torres (40')
Gargano (36'), Musto (116')
Sep 12, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 1
Plaza Colonia
1-2
Penarol
Lopez (58')
Redin (24'), Fernandez (73')
Redin (30')
Alvarez (36', 70')
Ceppelini (84')
Jun 2, 2021 10pm
gameweek 1
Penarol
0-0
Plaza Colonia

Musto (19'), Rodriguez (83'), Trindade (90')

Dibble (58'), Camargo (61')
rhs 2.0
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