Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.