Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.