Millonarios vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millonarios would win this match.