Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.