Boston River logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jun 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas

Boston River
4 - 0
La Luz

Olivera (9', 27'), Adrian Valdez (68'), Machado (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and La Luz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Boston River
Sunday, June 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 3-2 Penarol
Saturday, June 3 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 26.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.

Result
Boston RiverDrawLa Luz
45.83% (-2.786 -2.79)27.22% (0.6 0.6)26.95% (2.188 2.19)
Both teams to score 47% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.2% (-0.767 -0.77)57.8% (0.769 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.47% (-0.609 -0.61)78.53% (0.611 0.61)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (-1.663 -1.66)25.18% (1.664 1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.09% (-2.351 -2.35)59.91% (2.352 2.35)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82% (1.478 1.48)37.18% (-1.479 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (1.436 1.44)73.96% (-1.435 -1.44)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 45.83%
    La Luz 26.95%
    Draw 27.21%
Boston RiverDrawLa Luz
1-0 @ 12.91% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.621 -0.62)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.502 -0.5)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 45.83%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 9.36% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.622 0.62)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.376 0.38)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.476 0.48)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.202 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.211 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 26.95%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2023 12.15am
Gameweek 10
La Luz
2-1
Boston River
Schiappacasse (9'), Hernandez (87' pen.)
Olivera (29')
rhs 2.0


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