Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.