Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 38%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boston River in this match.