Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Danubio in this match.