Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 14, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Torque
0 - 4
Nacional

FT(HT: 0-4)
Rodriguez (12'), Zabala (21'), Ramirez (34', 44')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Last Game: Torque 1-1 River Plate
Monday, May 8 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-2 Nacional
Sunday, May 7 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City TorqueDrawNacional
24.72% (0.048000000000002 0.05)26.24% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)49.04% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.92% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.3% (0.052 0.05)55.7% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.15% (0.041 0.04)76.84% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (0.072000000000003 0.07)37.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (0.068999999999999 0.07)74.73% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.76% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.55% (0.0040000000000049 0)56.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo City Torque 24.72%
    Nacional 49.03%
    Draw 26.23%
Montevideo City TorqueDrawNacional
1-0 @ 8.37%
2-1 @ 6% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.05% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.94% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.72%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 12.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.03%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 10.30pm
gameweek 5
Torque
0-3
Nacional

Arismendi (24'), Pena (44'), Palacios (66'), Rabunal (75')
Pena (53')
Fagundez (8'), Suarez (27'), Gigliotti (89')
Luis Rodriguez (15'), Castro (43'), Suarez (44')
Mar 13, 2022 10.30pm
gameweek 5
Nacional
1-1
Torque
Fagundez (27')
Rodriguez (35'), Coelho (54'), Fagundez (70'), Repetto (70'), Carballo (84'), Trezza (90+3'), Repetto (90+4')
Arismendi (59')
Pena (23'), Milesi (70'), Arismendi (72'), Morales (90+4')
Nov 4, 2021 12am
gameweek 10
Nacional
2-0
Torque
Zunino (45+2'), Almeida (47')
Almeida (9'), Fernandez (45')

Allende (17'), Pizzichillo (39'), Brun (45'), Catarozzi (59')
Jul 11, 2021 10pm
gameweek 10
Torque
3-0
Nacional
Rodriguez (45+1'), Cejas (60'), Pizzichillo (69')
Catarozzi (24'), Arismendi (30'), Scotto (82')

Corujo (41')
Feb 11, 2021 12.45am
gameweek 6
Torque
1-2
Nacional
Guerrero (69')
Rak (23'), Otormin (28'), Allende (62'), Pizzichillo (76'), Teuten (88'), Coccaro (90+3')
Carballo (41'), Bergessio (43')
Orihuela (7'), Garcia (81')