Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estádio José Pinheiro Borda

Internacional
2 - 2
Nacional

Mercado (11'), de Pena (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zabala (38'), Noguera (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Internacional and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Internacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 Goias
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 La Luz
Saturday, April 29 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
InternacionalDrawNacional
60.16% (2.51 2.51)22.55% (-0.136 -0.14)17.29% (-2.367 -2.37)
Both teams to score 48.37% (-3.79 -3.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.24% (-2.891 -2.89)49.76% (2.896 2.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (-2.642 -2.64)71.76% (2.647 2.65)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87% (-0.148 -0.15)16.13% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.43% (-0.279 -0.28)45.57% (0.283 0.28)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.67% (-4.404 -4.4)42.33% (4.409 4.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.28% (-4.024 -4.02)78.72% (4.029 4.03)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 60.15%
    Nacional 17.29%
    Draw 22.55%
InternacionalDrawNacional
1-0 @ 12.45% (1.34 1.34)
2-0 @ 11.36% (1.18 1.18)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.681 0.68)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.296 0.3)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.374 -0.37)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.103 0.1)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.769 0.77)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.591 -0.59)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.6% (-0.621 -0.62)
0-2 @ 2.52% (-0.325 -0.33)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.369 -0.37)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.345 -0.35)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.29%

Head to Head
Jul 31, 2019 11.15pm
Second Stage
Internacional
2-0
Nacional
Moledo (16'), Guerrero (94')
Bruno (26'), Nonato (84')

Corujo (22'), Neves (91')
Jul 24, 2019 11.15pm
Round of 16
Nacional
0-1
Internacional

Neves (39'), Lorenzetti (64')
Guerrero (90')
Edenilson (31'), Uendel (69'), Guerrero (73')