Copa Libertadores
May 3, 2023 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio José Pinheiro Borda
  • Gabriel Mercado 11' goal
  • Carlos de Pena 83' goal
  • goal Diego Zabala 38'
  • goal Fabian Noguera 90'+1'

Internacional vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Internacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 18, 2023 11.00pm
Internacional 1 - 0 Metropolitanos

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 11.00pm
Nacional 2 - 1 Medellin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Internacional 60.16% (+2.51)
Draw 22.55% (-0.14)
Nacional 17.29% (-2.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.37% (-3.79)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.24% (-2.90)
Under 2.5 49.76% (+2.90)
Over 3.5 28.24% (-2.65)
Under 3.5 71.76% (+2.65)
Over 4.5 13.47% (-1.82)
Under 4.5 86.53% (+1.82)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5 83.87% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 16.13% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 54.43% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 45.57% (+0.29)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 57.67% (-4.41)
Under 0.5 42.33% (+4.41)
Over 1.5 21.28% (-4.03)
Under 1.5 78.72% (+4.03)

Score analysis

Internacional 60.15%
Draw 22.55%
Nacional 17.29%
Internacional
1-0 @ 12.45% (+1.34)
2-0 @ 11.36% (+1.18)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 6.91% (+0.69)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 3.15% (+0.30)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.38)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.18)
5-0 @ 1.15% (+0.11)
Other @ 3%
Total : 60.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.83% (+0.77)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.60)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 22.55%
Nacional
0-1 @ 5.87% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.6% (-0.63)
0-2 @ 2.52% (-0.33)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.37)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.35)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.29%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Jul 31, 2019 11.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rodrigo Moledo 16' goal
  • Bruno 26' yellowcard
  • Nonato 84' yellowcard
  • Paolo Guerrero 94' goal
  • yellowcard Guzman Corujo 22'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 91'
Copa Libertadores
Jul 24, 2019 11.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gabriel Neves 39' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Lorenzetti 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edenilson 31'
  • yellowcard Uendel 69'
  • yellowcard Paolo Guerrero 73'
  • goal Paolo Guerrero 90'