Emelec
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Banco del Pacifico

Emelec
1 - 1
Guarani

Garcia (13', 13')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Benitez (39', 39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Emelec and Guarani, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Emelec

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Last Game: Huracan 2-2 Emelec
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Guarani

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Last Game: Danubio 0-2 Guarani
Thursday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Guarani had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Guarani win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
EmelecDrawGuarani
47.3% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)28.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.58% (0.132 0.13)
Both teams to score 42.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)62.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)81.9% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Emelec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)26.48% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-0.102 -0.1)61.66% (0.102 0.1)
Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.23% (0.127 0.13)41.77% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.76% (0.11 0.11)78.23% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Emelec 47.29%
    Guarani 24.58%
    Draw 28.12%
EmelecDrawGuarani
1-0 @ 14.69% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 47.29%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.63% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 24.58%

Head to Head
May 4, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Guarani
1-1
Emelec
rhs 2.0


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