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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto
Sporting Cristal

Always Ready
6 - 1
Cristal

da Silva (14'), Tanque (14'), Romero (48', 48', 78' pen., 78' pen.), Matheus Tome de Araujo Benegas (54'), Matheus (54'), Cuellar (59', 59'), Paniagua (89', 89')
Delmar Vaca Justiniano (41'), Vaca (41'), Matheus Tome de Araujo Benegas (90+2'), Matheus (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Cauteruccio (44' pen., 44' pen.)
Pretell (29'), Pretell (29'), Tavara (38'), Tavara (38'), Diaz (76'), Diaz (76'), Cazonatti (82'), Cazonatti (82')
Ignacio (90'), Diaz (90+2'), Ignacio (90'), Diaz (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Always Ready and Sporting Cristal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Always Ready

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Last Game: Always Ready 1-3 Magallanes
Thursday, March 2 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
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Sporting Cristal

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Last Game: Emelec 0-0 Cristal
Thursday, July 20 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Always Ready win with a probability of 52.97%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Always Ready win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Always Ready would win this match.

Result
Always ReadyDrawSporting Cristal
52.97% (0.14 0.14)23.23% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)23.8% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (0.14 0.14)44.29% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.33% (0.13500000000001 0.14)66.67% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Always Ready Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (0.102 0.1)16.7% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (0.181 0.18)46.59% (-0.182 -0.18)
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)32.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.04% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Always Ready 52.97%
    Sporting Cristal 23.8%
    Draw 23.22%
Always ReadyDrawSporting Cristal
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 52.97%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 23.8%