Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
Internacional	Draw	Independiente Medellin
67.41% ( 0)	19.54%	13.05% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.76% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.76%

45.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.42%

67.58% (

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.55% (

12.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.62% (

38.38%

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.55%

45.45% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.71% (

-0)

81.29% (

Score Analysis

Internacional 67.4%

Independiente Medellin 13.05%

Draw 19.54%

Internacional	Draw	Independiente Medellin
2-0 @ 12.28% 1-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 6.73% 4-0 @ 4.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.1% Total : 67.4%	1-1 @ 9.29% 0-0 @ 5.66% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.54%	0-1 @ 4.46% 1-2 @ 3.66% 0-2 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.2% Total : 13.05%