Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 13.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.