Copa Libertadores
Jun 28, 2023 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda
  • Mauricio 3' goal
  • Luiz Adriano 22' goal
  • Luiz Adriano 27' goal
  • goal Luciano Pons 50'

Internacional vs Independiente Medellin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Internacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Jun 7, 2023 11.00pm
Nacional 1 - 1 Internacional

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Jun 8, 2023 11.00pm
Metropolitanos 0 - 1 Medellin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result

Internacional 67.41% (+0.01)
Draw 19.54%
Independiente Medellin 13.05% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.76% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.76%
Under 2.5 45.24%
Over 3.5 32.42%
Under 3.5 67.58% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.38%
Under 4.5 83.62% (+0.01)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5 87.55% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.44%
Over 1.5 61.62% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 38.38%

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 54.55%
Under 0.5 45.45% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 18.71% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 81.29% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Internacional 67.4%
Draw 19.54%
Independiente Medellin 13.05%
Internacional
2-0 @ 12.28%
1-0 @ 11.78%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 6.73%
4-0 @ 4.45% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.65%
5-0 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 67.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.29%
0-0 @ 5.66%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 19.54%
Independiente Medellin
0-1 @ 4.46%
1-2 @ 3.66%
0-2 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 13.05%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 5, 2023 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Victor Moreno 52' goal
  • goal Alan Patrick 86'
Copa Sudamericana
May 17, 2022 11.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Pinheiro Borda
  • Edenilson 19' goal
  • Edenilson 20' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 57' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Guillermo Arboleda 40'
Copa Sudamericana
Apr 27, 2022 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Javier Mendez 72' yellowcard
  • Victor Andres Moreno Cordoba 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Victor Moreno 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitao 18'
  • goal Alexandre Alemao 54'