Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Jun 8, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Metropolitanos
0 - 1
Medellin

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Metropolitanos and Independiente Medellin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metropolitanos

Last Game: Metropolitanos 1-2 Internacional
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Independiente Medellin

Last Game: Medellin 2-1 Nacional
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Independiente Medellin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Independiente Medellin.

Result
Metropolitanos	Draw	Independiente Medellin
34.53% ( -0.02)	27.95% ( -0.09)	37.52% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 47.86% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.86% (

0.31)

58.14% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.2% (

0.24)

78.8% (

-0.24)

Metropolitanos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24% (

0.15)

31.76% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

0.17)

68.18% (

-0.17)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

0.21)

29.87% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04% (

0.26)

65.96% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Metropolitanos 34.53%

Independiente Medellin 37.52%

Draw 27.95%

Metropolitanos	Draw	Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.53%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.95%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.52%