Copa Libertadores
Jun 8, 2023 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
  • goal Emerson Batalla 46'

Metropolitanos vs Independiente Medellin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Metropolitanos

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 26, 2023 1.00am
Metropolitanos 1 - 2 Internacional

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 24, 2023 1.00am
Medellin 2 - 1 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Independiente Medellin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Independiente Medellin.

Result

Metropolitanos 34.53% (-0.02)
Draw 27.95% (-0.09)
Independiente Medellin 37.52% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.86% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.86% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 58.14% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 21.2% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 78.8% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 9.04% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 90.96% (-0.15)

Metropolitanos Goals

Over 0.5 68.24% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 31.76% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 31.82% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 68.18% (-0.18)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 70.13% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 29.87% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 34.04% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 65.96% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Metropolitanos 34.53%
Draw 27.95%
Independiente Medellin 37.52%
Metropolitanos
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.54% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.88% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.56% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.95%
Independiente Medellin
0-1 @ 11.46% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.94% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.93% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.2% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 37.52%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
May 4, 2023 3.00am
4
2
HT : 5 1
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Carlos Jair Gruezo Chamorro 1' goal
  • Carlos Gruezo 1' goal
  • Andres Cadavid 25' goal
  • Miguel Monsalve 34' goal
  • Luciano Pons 45' goal
  • goal Daniel Londono 15' (OG)
  • goal Jhon Lorens Marchan Cordero 90'+3'
  • goal Jhon Marchan 90'+3'