Copa Libertadores
May 4, 2023 3.00am
4
2
HT : 5 1
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Carlos Jair Gruezo Chamorro 1' goal
  • Carlos Gruezo 1' goal
  • Andres Cadavid 25' goal
  • Miguel Monsalve 34' goal
  • Luciano Pons 45' goal
  • goal Daniel Londono 15' (OG)
  • goal Jhon Lorens Marchan Cordero 90'+3'
  • goal Jhon Marchan 90'+3'

Independiente Medellin vs Metropolitanos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 19, 2023 11.00pm
Nacional 2 - 1 Medellin

Metropolitanos

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 18, 2023 11.00pm
Internacional 1 - 0 Metropolitanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result

Independiente Medellin 56.85% (+0.09)
Draw 25.76% (+0.02)
Metropolitanos 17.38% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.99% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.91% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 61.09% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 18.94% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 81.06% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 7.73% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 92.26% (+0.07)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 78.34% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.66% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 45.21% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 54.79% (+0.06)

Metropolitanos Goals

Over 0.5 51.05% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 48.95% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 16.08% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 83.92% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Independiente Medellin 56.84%
Draw 25.76%
Metropolitanos 17.38%
Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 16.21% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 12.4% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.33% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.6% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 25.76%
Metropolitanos
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.14% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 17.38%